Jack Schwager, the famous author of the Market Wizards series, will be presenting a webinar on futures. This is a real honor! This means we will focus on answering questions from the audience as much as possible the entire webinar. More information on his books can be found on his website: Jack Schwager Jack Schwager is a recognized industry expert in futures and hedge funds and the author of a number of widely acclaimed financial books. He is also an advisor to Marketopper, an India-based quantitative trading firm, supervising a major project that will adapt their trading technology to trade a global futures portfolio. Previously, Mr.
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The last chapter distills the wisdom of the 15 skilled traders interviewed into 40 key market lessons. A sampling is provided below: 1. There Is No Holy Grail in Trading Many traders mistakenly believe that there is some single solution to defining market behavior. Not only is there no single solution to the markets, but those solutions that do exist are continually changing. The range of the methods used by the traders interviewed in Hedge Fund Market Wizards, some of which are even polar opposites, is a testament to the diversity of possible approaches.
There are a multitude of ways to be successful in the markets, albeit they are all hard to find and achieve. Even the best trading processes will lose a certain percentage of the time. There is no way of knowing a priori which individual trade will make money. As long as a trade adhered to a process with a positive edge, it is a good trade, regardless of whether it wins or loses because if similar trades are repeated multiple times, they will come out ahead.
Conversely, a trade that is taken as a gamble is a bad trade regardless of whether it wins or loses because over time such trades will lose money. Each mistake, if recognized and acted upon, provides an opportunity for improving a trading approach. Most traders would benefit by writing down each mistake, the implied lesson, and the intended change in the trading process. Such a trading log can be periodically reviewed for reinforcement. Trading mistakes cannot be avoided, but repeating the same mistakes can be, and doing so is often the difference between success and failure.
The Importance of Doing Nothing For some traders, the discipline and patience to do nothing when the environment is unfavorable or opportunities are lacking is a crucial element in their success.
In part, he accomplished this feat by having the discipline to remain largely in cash during negative environments, which allowed him to sidestep large drawdowns during two major bear markets. Beware of taking dubious trades out of impatience. Volatility and Risk Are Not Synonymous Low volatility does not imply low risk and high volatility does not imply high risk.
Investments subject to sporadic large risks may exhibit low volatility if a risk event is not present in the existing track record.
For example, the strategy of selling out-of-the-money options can exhibit low volatility if there are no large, abrupt price moves, but is at risk of asymptotically increasing losses in the event of a sudden, steep selloff. On the other hand, traders such as Jamie Mai, the portfolio manager for Cornwall Capital, will exhibit high volatility because of occasional very large gains-not a factor that most investors would associate with risk or even consider undesirable-but will have strictly curtailed risk because of the asymmetric structure of their trades.
As a related point, investors often make the mistake of equating manager performance in a given year with manager skill. Sometimes, more skilled managers will underperform because they refuse to participate in market bubbles. The best performers during such periods are often the most imprudent rather than the most skilled managers. Martin Taylor, the portfolio manager of the Nevsky Fund, underperformed in because he thought it was ridiculous to buy tech stocks at their inflated price levels.
This same investment decision, however, was instrumental to his large outperformance in subsequent years when these stocks witnessed a prolonged, massive decline. In this sense, past performance can sometimes even be an inverse indicator. Previously, Mr. Schwager was a partner in the Fortune Group, a London-based hedge fund advisory Schwager was a partner in the Fortune Group, a London-based hedge fund advisory firm, which specialized in creating customized hedge fund portfolios for institutional clients.
Schwager has written extensively on the futures industry and great traders in all financial markets. He is perhaps best known for his best-selling series of interviews with the greatest hedge fund managers of the last two decades: Market Wizards , The New Market Wizards , and Stock Market Wizards He later revised and expanded this original work into the three-volume series, Schwager on Futures, consisting of Fundamental Analysis , Technical Analysis , and Managed Trading Schwager is a frequent seminar speaker and has lectured on a range of analytical topics including the characteristics of great traders, investment fallacies, hedge fund portfolios, managed accounts, technical analysis, and trading system evaluation.
Webinar: Jack Schwager of Market Wizards
Prices are inconsistent with my hypothesis. I need to get out and rethink the situation. He sizes his position so that the loss from a move to that price level is limited to a small percentage of assets. When a trade is wrong, he will just cut it, move on, and do something else. That determines where the stop level should be.
Hedge Fund Market Wizards – Jack Schwager
Hedge Fund Market Wizards (eBook, PDF)
Hedge Fund Market Wizards